Hyman Minsky(1919 — 1996)

Hyman Minsky

États-Unis

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EconomicsÉconomiste20th Century20th century, the post-war period marked by the Trente Glorieuses and then the financialization of the economy; his ideas would be rediscovered during the subprime crisis of 2008.

Hyman Minsky (1919-1996) was an American economist famous for his theory of financial instability. He showed how periods of stability and growth push players to take on increasing risks, leading to financial crises.

Frequently asked questions

Hyman Minsky (1919-1996) was an American economist who developed the financial instability hypothesis. The key thing to remember is that his ideas remained on the fringes during his lifetime, but the 2008 subprime crisis thrust them into the spotlight: the mechanisms he described — excessive debt, financial fragility, sudden collapse — matched exactly what had just happened. Overnight, his out-of-print books became best-sellers and the phrase “Minsky moment” entered the vocabulary of journalists.

Famous Quotes

« Stability is destabilizing.»

Key Facts

  • Born in 1919 in Chicago into a family of Jewish immigrants of Belarusian and Lithuanian origin
  • From the 1970s onward, develops his financial instability hypothesis
  • Distinguishes three types of financing: hedge, speculative, and Ponzi
  • Dies in 1996; his theories see a major resurgence of interest during the financial crisis of 2008 (the “Minsky moment”)

Works & Achievements

John Maynard Keynes (1975)

An original rereading of Keynes's work emphasizing the role of finance and uncertainty, long neglected by orthodox “Keynesian” economists.

Can “It” Happen Again? Essays on Instability and Finance (1982)

A collection of essays asking whether a new Great Depression could occur and laying out the mechanisms of financial fragility.

Stabilizing an Unstable Economy (1986)

A major synthesizing work, presenting the financial instability hypothesis and arguing for a stabilizing role for the state and the central bank.

The Financial Instability Hypothesis (article) (1992)

A concise and famous exposition of his central theory, which became a key reference after the 2008 crisis.

Theory of the three financing regimes (hedge, speculative, Ponzi) (1970s-1980s)

A classification describing how borrowers gradually shift from caution to over-indebtedness, making the financial system increasingly fragile.

The phrase “stability is destabilizing” (1970s)

The key idea that long periods of economic calm encourage risk-taking and set the stage for future crises.

Anecdotes

For most of his career, Hyman Minsky was a marginal economist, rarely cited by his peers, who preferred equilibrium models. It was only after his death, during the financial crisis of 2008, that his ideas met with spectacular success and his out-of-print books were suddenly snapped up.

At Harvard University, Minsky's thesis advisor was Joseph Schumpeter, the Austrian economist famous for his theory of “creative destruction.” When Schumpeter died in 1950, the future Nobel laureate Wassily Leontief took over the supervision of his work.

His most famous formula comes down to three words: “stability is destabilizing.” According to him, the longer an economy enjoys a calm and prosperous period, the more banks and investors forget the danger and borrow recklessly, unwittingly setting the stage for the next crisis.

In 2008, journalists and economists began speaking of a “Minsky moment” to describe the instant when a speculative bubble bursts abruptly. The expression had in fact been coined back in 1998 by fund manager Paul McCulley, in reference to the Russian financial crisis.

Minsky distinguished three types of borrowers with colorful names: “hedge” financing (prudent), “speculative” financing, and “Ponzi” financing — named after the swindler Charles Ponzi — in which the borrower must constantly re-borrow to repay, until the whole thing collapses.

Primary Sources

The Financial Instability Hypothesis (Working Paper No. 74, Levy Economics Institute) (1992)
Over a protracted period of good times, capitalist economies tend to move from a financial structure dominated by hedge finance units to a structure in which there is large weight to units engaged in speculative and Ponzi finance.
Stabilizing an Unstable Economy (1986)
The financial instability hypothesis is a theory of the impact of debt on system behavior and also incorporates the manner in which debt is validated.
John Maynard Keynes (1975)
The essential aspect of Keynes's General Theory is a deep analysis of how financial forces — which we can characterize as Wall Street — interact with production and consumption to determine output, employment, and prices.
Can "It" Happen Again? Essays on Instability and Finance (1982)
The natural starting place for analyzing the relation between debt and income is to take an economy with a cyclical past, and to note that the financial system is robust or fragile depending upon how recent that past is.

Key Places

Chicago, Illinois

Hyman Minsky's birthplace, in 1919. He grew up there and earned his bachelor's degree in mathematics at the University of Chicago.

Harvard University, Cambridge (Massachusetts)

Minsky defended his doctoral dissertation in economics here in 1954, under the supervision of Joseph Schumpeter and later Wassily Leontief.

University of California, Berkeley

Minsky taught economics here and deepened his research on finance and economic cycles.

Washington University in St. Louis (Missouri)

This is where Minsky taught for the longest part of his career, from 1965 until his retirement, and where he developed his financial instability hypothesis.

Levy Economics Institute, Bard College (Annandale-on-Hudson)

Minsky was a distinguished scholar here from 1990 onward; the institute carries on his thinking to this day.

Rhinebeck, New York State

A town in the Hudson Valley where Hyman Minsky died in 1996.

See also